UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Rodriguez
55%
Robertson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:07
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Gillian
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Robertson

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 45% vs Robertson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodriguez
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
59.1
41.7
Performance Avg
55.0
34
Quality of Victory
45
83
Momentum Score
74
Rodriguez
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Rodriguez
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Rodriguez
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Rodriguez
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Robertson
Striking3.9 / 3.5Volume6.8 / 3.7Grappling1.7 / 4.7Wrestling1.2 / 3.3Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure3.6 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Robertson
Rodriguez
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Robertson
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Robertson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9W2.1L5.6W5.2W2.5L5.5W4.5W5.7L6.3L6.0W6.1L5.5W6.0W6.2L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W2017-122019-102021-122024-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Robertson · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Gillian Robertson
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