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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
Dallas, USA
13 May 2017
Welterweight
VS
48%
Maia
52%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 35
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 48% vs Masvidal at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Masvidal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
35.2
50.8
Performance Avg
47.0
40
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
43
Maia
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance9
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Maia
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Maia
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Maia
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Masvidal
Striking1.8 / 5.3Volume5.0 / 4.4Grappling5.1 / 1.7Wrestling3.6 / 1.2Submission5.0 / 0.8Pressure5.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Maia
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Maia
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Masvidal
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Demian Maia · Jorge Masvidal
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