UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Jauregui
55%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Yazmin
Yazmin Jauregui
11 – 2
5'3"64" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Sam
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
11 – 7
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hughes

This is a genuine toss-up — Jauregui at 45% vs Hughes at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Jauregui throws more volume but Hughes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jauregui's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jauregui
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
64"
27+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jauregui
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
49.8
45.0
Performance Avg
40.0
35
Quality of Victory
33
48
Momentum Score
76
Jauregui
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
7
Body
3
9
Leg
11
RangeRange
33Distance27
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Jauregui
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jauregui
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Jauregui
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
76
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jauregui
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jauregui
Hughes
Striking4.5 / 2.7Volume6.5 / 6.3Grappling1.6 / 2.9Wrestling1.1 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure4.1 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Jauregui
Strike Zones
Hughes
Jauregui
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY9LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY11LEGS28 absorbed
Hughes
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY11LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY9LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jauregui targets the head (53% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jauregui absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jauregui
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0

Jauregui · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.4W5.2W2.8L5.2W1.9L2022-082022-122023-072024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.7L6.4L5.5L4.5W5.5W6.3L6.3W5.8L5.2W5.9W5.8W6.3L2020-122022-042023-042025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Jauregui · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ketlen SouzaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 5.2
Decision
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L · KO · R1
Denise GomesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Istela NunesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
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Hughes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Shauna BannonRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Yazmin JaureguiRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Yazmin Jauregui · Sam Hughes
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