The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Featherweight
VS
44%
Phan
56%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garcia
This is a genuine toss-up — Phan at 44% vs Garcia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Phan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Phan
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
70"+
Reach
68"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Phan
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.6
13.7
25.0
Performance Avg
32.6
25
Quality of Victory
40
35
Momentum Score
39
Phan
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
21%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
14
8
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
33Distance19
0Clinch2
2Ground0
Phan
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phan
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/38 fights
Chin rating based on
9/31 fights
Phan
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Phan
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phan
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
PhanGarcia
Strike Zones
Phan
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phan targets the head (77% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (67% of attacks) — Phan absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phan
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Phan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Phan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Jimy HettesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03