UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Madsen
49%
Vemola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jon Madsen
8 – 2
6'0"72" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
KV
Karlos Vemola
17 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Madsen

This is a genuine toss-up — Madsen at 51% vs Vemola at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vemola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Striking split: Madsen throws more volume but Vemola connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Madsen
Vemola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Madsen
Vemola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
19.4
52.2
Performance Avg
46.2
34
Quality of Victory
55
84
Momentum Score
59
Madsen
Vemola
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch4
3Ground0
Madsen
Vemola
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Madsen
Vemola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
6/22 fights
Madsen
Vemola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Madsen
Vemola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Madsen
Vemola
Striking4.1 / 5.7Volume7.6 / 0.7Grappling1.8 / 4.0Wrestling1.3 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.2 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Madsen
Strike Zones
Vemola
Madsen
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Vemola
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Madsen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vemola absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vemola targets the body (57% of attacks) — Madsen absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Madsen
RND
Vemola
0/0R00/0

Madsen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.8L2009-122010-042010-072010-102011-03
WinLossTrend

Vemola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L2.8L2010-072010-112011-082012-052012-072013-06
WinLossTrend

Madsen · Last 5

L · R2
Mike RussowRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
Gilbert YvelRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Dec · R3
Mostapha Al-TurkRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin WrenRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12

Vemola · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Caio MagalhaesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
L · Sub · R2
Francis CarmontRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · Sub · R2
Mike MassenzioRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Seth PetruzelliRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11

News & Media

Jon Madsen · Karlos Vemola
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