UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Featherweight
VS
43%
Grundy
57%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Amirkhani
This is a genuine toss-up — Grundy at 43% vs Amirkhani at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grundy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grundy
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grundy
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
36.2
43.0
Performance Avg
47.6
55
Quality of Victory
46
36
Momentum Score
56
Grundy
Amirkhani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Grundy
Amirkhani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grundy
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Grundy
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Grundy
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grundy
Amirkhani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grundy
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
Grundy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Amirkhani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Grundy · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 1.6Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · KO · R2
Nad NarimaniRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
Amirkhani · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5Decision
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