★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 14 Featherweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2011
Ultimate Fighter 14 Featherweight Tournament
VS
58%
Brandao
42%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brandao
This is a genuine toss-up — Brandao at 58% vs Bermudez at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brandao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Bermudez throws more volume but Brandao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bermudez has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brandao
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
14.4
53.4
Performance Avg
43.2
49
Quality of Victory
33
79
Momentum Score
50
Brandao
Bermudez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
22
7
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance11
2Clinch4
2Ground10
Brandao
Bermudez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brandao
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Brandao
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
50
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Brandao
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
30%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brandao
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
BrandaoBermudez
Strike Zones
Brandao
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (53% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brandao
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brandao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02