UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Featherweight
VS
52%
48%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — at 52% vs Santos at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
29
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
49.9
46.0
Performance Avg
41.0
60
Quality of Victory
35
43
Momentum Score
71
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
64%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground7
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
71
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Strike Zones
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the body (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (91% of attacks) — absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
· Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 6.1Decision
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W · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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Santos · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3Submission
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YizhaRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
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