METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Heavyweight
VS
32%
Struve
68%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Tai TuivasawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Stefan Struve · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Tuivasa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Struve has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StruveTuivasa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Struve
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Struve
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
43.2
51.7
Performance Avg
50.4
50
Quality of Victory
54
98
Momentum Score
20
Struve
Tuivasa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
9.6
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
7.5
2.3
Style: Volume
1.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
15
4
Body
4
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance14
0Clinch10
0Ground3
Struve
Tuivasa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
4.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Struve
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Struve
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Struve
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Struve
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
StruveTuivasa
Strike Zones
Struve
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (56% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Struve
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Tuivasa · Last 5
Upcoming
Robelis DespaigneUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03