UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Heavyweight
VS
32%
Struve
68%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
6'11"84" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 21
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
Knockout Artist7-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tuivasa

Tuivasa holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Struve has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Struve's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Struve
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'11"+
Height
6'2"
84"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Struve
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
43.2
51.7
Performance Avg
50.4
50
Quality of Victory
54
98
Momentum Score
20
Struve
Tuivasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
15
4
Body
4
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance14
0Clinch10
0Ground3
Struve
Tuivasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Struve
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/46 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Struve
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Struve
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Struve
Tuivasa
Striking4.9 / 9.6Volume2.3 / 1.9Grappling4.1 / 0.3Wrestling2.8 / 0.2Submission4.6 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
4.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
Struve
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Struve
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY5LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY8LEGS27 absorbed
Tuivasa
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY8LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY5LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (56% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Struve
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Stefan Struve · Tai Tuivasa
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