UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
Seoul, South Korea
28 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
91%
Kim
9%
Waters
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kim
Kim is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Striking split: Kim throws more volume but Waters connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kim's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kim
Waters
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+79"
44
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kim
Waters
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
2.1
52.3
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
99
Momentum Score
0
Kim
Waters
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Kim
Waters
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kim
Waters
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Kim
Waters
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Kim
Waters
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kim
Waters
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KimWaters
Strike Zones
Kim
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedWaters
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (83% of attacks) — Waters absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kim
RND
Waters
0/0R00/0
Kim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Waters · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Kim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Dominic WatersRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Waters · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Dong Hyun KimRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
George SullivanRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07