UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Welterweight
VS
62%
Riddle
38%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Riddle
Riddle holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Martinez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Riddle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Riddle
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
76"+
Reach
69"
40+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Riddle
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
11.3
45.6
Performance Avg
28.3
29
Quality of Victory
25
88
Momentum Score
40
Riddle
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
19%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
12
Body
1
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
19Distance11
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Riddle
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Riddle
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Riddle
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
40
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Riddle
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddle
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RiddleMartinez
Strike Zones
Riddle
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddle targets the head (40% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddle
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Riddle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Riddle · Last 5
Upcoming
Che MillsUFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris ClementsUFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
Martinez · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Daron CruickshankRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Bernardo MagalhaesRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02