METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Middleweight
VS
37%
Barriault
63%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:27
★ Official Result
Marc-Andre BarriaultwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:27
def. Bruno Silva · UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Barriault wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Barriault has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarriaultSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barriault
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barriault
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
61.6
41.9
Performance Avg
49.0
45
Quality of Victory
58
13
Momentum Score
91
Barriault
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
8.1
3.4
Style: Volume
0.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
7Clinch5
3Ground0
Barriault
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barriault
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Barriault
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Barriault
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barriault
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
BarriaultSilva
Strike Zones
Barriault
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSilva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (79% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (67% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barriault
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barriault · Last 5
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