UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Crute
44%
Menifield
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Crute
This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 56% vs Menifield at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Crute has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Crute throws more volume but Menifield connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menifield has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Crute
Menifield
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Crute
Menifield
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
52.6
56.7
Performance Avg
51.6
55
Quality of Victory
44
91
Momentum Score
75
Crute
Menifield
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Crute
Menifield
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Crute
Menifield
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Crute
Menifield
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
75
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Crute
Menifield
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Menifield
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
CruteMenifield
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMenifield
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (100% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Menifield targets the head (100% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Menifield
0/0R00/0
Crute · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanRating 5Submission
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Upcoming
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Upcoming
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