METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
51%
Fernandes
49%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gabriella FernandeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julija Stoliarenko · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fernandes
→
Actual result
Fernandes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fernandes at 51% vs Stoliarenko at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FernandesStoliarenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
66"
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.9
41.9
43.4
Performance Avg
41.3
39
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
20
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
7.7
6.3
Style: Volume
0.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
10
2
Body
11
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance19
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
FernandesStoliarenko
Strike Zones
Fernandes
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedStoliarenko
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fernandes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the body (46% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fernandes
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0
Fernandes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Casey O'NeillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Wang CongSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Carli JudiceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Tereza BledaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

