UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Fernandes
50%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Gabriella
Gabriella Fernandes
"Gabi"
11 – 4
5'6"66" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Julija
Julija Stoliarenko
11 – 10
Submission Hunter2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fernandes

This is a genuine toss-up — Fernandes at 50% vs Stoliarenko at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Fernandes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
66"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
41.9
40.9
Performance Avg
41.3
35
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
20
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
10
2
Body
11
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance19
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fernandes
Stoliarenko
Striking1.0 / 0.4Volume6.3 / 0.4Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure3.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Fernandes
Strike Zones
Stoliarenko
Fernandes
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD11BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Stoliarenko
Attacking
10HEAD11BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fernandes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the body (46% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fernandes
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0

Fernandes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.4L5.5L6.2W6.5W4.8W2.7L2023-022023-062024-062024-112025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Stoliarenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.6L4.8L5.5L5.0W2.0L5.7W4.6L5.9L2018-112022-022023-072025-08
WinLossTrend

Fernandes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Casey O'NeillRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Wang CongRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Carli JudiceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Tereza BledaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Stoliarenko · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

News & Media

Gabriella Fernandes · Julija Stoliarenko
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