UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Arlovski
57%
Acosta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Waldo
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17 – 3
Striker34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Acosta

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 43% vs Acosta at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Acosta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Arlovski
Acosta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Acosta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
65.8
50.5
Performance Avg
55.7
47
Quality of Victory
42
94
Momentum Score
100
Arlovski
Acosta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
9
Body
5
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance17
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Arlovski
Acosta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Acosta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Arlovski
Acosta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Arlovski
Acosta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Acosta
Striking5.0 / 6.5Volume5.3 / 5.5Grappling1.9 / 1.2Wrestling1.4 / 0.8Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Acosta
Arlovski
Attacking
5HEAD9BODY9LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Acosta
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD9BODY9LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the body (39% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Acosta targets the head (50% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Acosta
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.0W6.7L6.0W5.7W6.5W6.8L2022-102024-012025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Waldo Cortes Acosta
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