UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Welterweight
VS
71%
Means
29%
Staropoli
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Means
Means is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Means has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Means
Staropoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Staropoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
15.1
45.2
Performance Avg
28.3
41
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
10
Means
Staropoli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
5
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance10
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Means
Staropoli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Staropoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Means
Staropoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Means
Staropoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Staropoli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MeansStaropoli
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedStaropoli
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (67% of attacks) — Staropoli absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Staropoli targets the head (70% of attacks) — Means absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Staropoli
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Staropoli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Staropoli · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05