UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
71%
Yahya
29%
Bedford
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bedford has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Bedford has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bedford has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yahya
Bedford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Bedford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
17.7
50.5
Performance Avg
47.5
39
Quality of Victory
53
39
Momentum Score
39
Yahya
Bedford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yahya
Bedford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Bedford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
6/34 fights
Yahya
Bedford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Yahya
Bedford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Bedford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
YahyaBedford
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedBedford
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bedford absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Bedford
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bedford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
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Bedford · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Rani YahyaRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Cody GibsonRating 1.7KO/TKO
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Upcoming
Rani YahyaUFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R3
Bryan CarawayRating 4Submission
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W · KO · R2
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