METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Reyes
43%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:20
def. Dominick Reyes · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Spann wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 57% vs Spann at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReyesSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reyes
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
36
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
41.9
56.3
Performance Avg
53.3
49
Quality of Victory
50
71
Momentum Score
10
Reyes
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
7.4
3.7
Style: Volume
2.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Reyes
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reyes
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Reyes
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
10
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Reyes
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reyes
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
ReyesSpann
Strike Zones
Reyes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSpann
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the body (80% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (88% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reyes
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Reyes · Last 5
Upcoming
Azamat MurzakanovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10