UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
57%
Burns
43%
Prazeres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burns
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 57% vs Prazeres at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns
Prazeres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
67"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Prazeres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
30.5
48.1
Performance Avg
48.3
40
Quality of Victory
33
28
Momentum Score
85
Burns
Prazeres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
9
3
Body
9
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
10Distance23
1Clinch0
1Ground2
Burns
Prazeres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Prazeres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Burns
Prazeres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
85
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Burns
Prazeres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
30%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Prazeres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
BurnsPrazeres
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedPrazeres
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (75% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Prazeres targets the head (36% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 36% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Prazeres
0/0R00/0
Burns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Prazeres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
