UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Heavyweight
VS
70%
Arlovski
30%
Mir
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
FM
Frank Mir
18 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsSouthpaw79" reach6'3"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Arlovski throws more volume but Mir connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mir has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Mir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+79"
47
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Arlovski
Mir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
21.2
50.5
Performance Avg
57.4
47
Quality of Victory
56
94
Momentum Score
88
Arlovski
Mir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
9 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
3
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
4Clinch4
0Ground1
Arlovski
Mir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Mir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
27/29 fights
Arlovski
Mir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
88
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Arlovski
Mir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
81%
9
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
8
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Mir
Striking5.0 / 4.3Volume5.3 / 2.2Grappling1.9 / 4.3Wrestling1.4 / 3.0Submission0.9 / 5.0Pressure5.0 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Mir
Arlovski
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Mir
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (58% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Mir targets the body (57% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Mir
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Mir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.0W5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.1W2.1L5.0W1.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W2.1L5.5L1.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W6.2L1.5L2001-112006-022009-122013-082016-03
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Mir · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Frank Mir
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