METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
83%
Jones
17%
O'Brien
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Jon JoneswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:43
def. Jake O'Brien · UFC 100
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Jones is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Brien has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JonesO'Brien
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jones
O'Brien
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
84"+
Reach
76"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
O'Brien
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
14.6
74.6
Performance Avg
42.4
61
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
50
Jones
O'Brien
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.5
58%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Jones
O'Brien
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
O'Brien
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
44
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Jones
O'Brien
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jones
O'Brien
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
O'Brien
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
JonesO'Brien
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedO'Brien
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (43% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯O'Brien targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
O'Brien
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
O'Brien · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
O'Brien · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesRating 4.5Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
W · Dec · R3
Christian WellischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01