UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Flyweight
VS
67%
Sanchez
33%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
Sanchez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Sanchez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
8.8
45.7
Performance Avg
23.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
25
Sanchez
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sanchez
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Sanchez
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
25
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
SanchezSanchez
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jarred BrooksRating 5.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Sub · R1
Joby SanchezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Robert SanchezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Geane HerreraRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08