UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
Manchester, United Kingdom
26 Oct 2013
Middleweight
VS
60%
Barnatt
40%
Craig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:12
LB
Luke Barnatt
"The Bigslow"
13 – 4
6'6"77" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
AC
Andrew Craig
"Highlight"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barnatt

Barnatt holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Craig has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Barnatt throws more volume but Craig connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barnatt
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barnatt
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
13.6
46.9
Performance Avg
38.1
45
Quality of Victory
35
82
Momentum Score
35
Barnatt
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
6
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Barnatt
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barnatt
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Barnatt
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barnatt
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barnatt
Craig
Striking4.3 / 4.2Volume3.7 / 6.2Grappling3.5 / 1.6Wrestling2.4 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Barnatt
Strike Zones
Craig
Barnatt
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Craig
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barnatt targets the head (82% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (86% of attacks) — Barnatt absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barnatt
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barnatt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W5.0W6.6L5.5L5.5L2013-042013-102014-032014-052014-112015-05
WinLossTrend

Craig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2.8L2012-032013-012013-102015-07
WinLossTrend

Barnatt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mark MunozRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Roger NarvaezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Mats NilssonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Andrew CraigRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Luke Barnatt · Andrew Craig
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