METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Barao
47%
Jorgensen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Renan BaraowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Scott Jorgensen · UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barao
→
Actual result
Barao wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Barao at 53% vs Jorgensen at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Barao's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jorgensen has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaraoJorgensen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barao
Jorgensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
66"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barao
Jorgensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
14.1
59.4
Performance Avg
37.9
64
Quality of Victory
41
0
Momentum Score
54
Barao
Jorgensen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
4.6
Style: Volume
4.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
32
9
Body
3
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
49Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barao
Jorgensen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barao
Jorgensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/43 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Barao
Jorgensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
54
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Barao
Jorgensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barao
Jorgensen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
BaraoJorgensen
Strike Zones
Barao
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedJorgensen
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barao targets the head (71% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (86% of attacks) — Barao absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barao
RND
Jorgensen
0/0R00/0
Barao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Luke SandersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Brian KelleherDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Jorgensen · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03