UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
20%
Taleb
80%
Strickland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
Strickland is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Taleb connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taleb
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taleb
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
57.7
43.9
Performance Avg
50.9
34
Quality of Victory
37
52
Momentum Score
100
Taleb
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
39
3
Body
2
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance28
0Clinch3
0Ground11
Taleb
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Taleb
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Taleb
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Taleb
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taleb
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
TalebStrickland
Strike Zones
Taleb
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the legs (62% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taleb
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Taleb · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01