Aleksei Oleinik vs Serghei Spivac — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige

Las Vegas, USA

19 Jun 2021

Heavyweight

38%

Oleinik

62%

Spivac

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Aleksei Oleinik

"The Boa Constrictor"

60 – 17

6'2"80" reachOrthodox49 yrsSubmission Hunter

CFR 27

Serghei Spivac

"Polar Bear"

18 – 6

Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Serghei SpivacwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Aleksei Oleinik · UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Spivac

→

Actual result

Spivac wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Spivac holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Oleinik has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

OleinikSpivac

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Oleinik

Spivac

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

+6'3"

80"+

Reach

78"

Age

+31

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Oleinik

Spivac

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

26.5

44.1

52.0

Performance Avg

50.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Oleinik

Spivac

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.2

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

7.8

Style: Pressure

6.3

1.9

Style: Volume

3.8

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance19

3Clinch3

1Ground6

Oleinik

Spivac

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.5

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

4.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.4

7.8

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Oleinik

Spivac

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

17/77 fights

Chin rating based on

16/24 fights

Oleinik

Spivac

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Oleinik

Spivac

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

89%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oleinik

Spivac

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.5

6.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.5

4.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.4

7.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

7.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.3

1.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.8

Oleinik

Strike Zones

Spivac

Oleinik

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Spivac

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Oleinik targets the head (71% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 71% of strikes there

🎯Spivac targets the head (96% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oleinik

RND

Spivac

0/0R00/0

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Ilir Latifi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

W · Sub · R1

Jared Vanderaa

Submission

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

L · Dec · R3

Serghei Spivac

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06

L · KO · R1

Chris Daukaus

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

L · KO · R2

Derrick Lewis

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Spivac · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Vitor Petrino

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Ante Delija

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Decision

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

L · KO · R1

Jailton Almeida

KO/TKO

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R1

Marcin Tybura

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Aleksei Oleinik · Serghei Spivac

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