UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Middleweight
VS
29%
Heinisch
71%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
Meerschaert is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Heinisch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.7
56.7
39.1
Performance Avg
48.2
37
Quality of Victory
50
50
Momentum Score
91
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
HeinischMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Heinisch targets the head (85% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the body (67% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Heinisch
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Heinisch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Heinisch · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11