METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Middleweight
VS
21%
Heinisch
79%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:14
★ Official Result
Ian HeinischwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:14
def. Gerald Meerschaert · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
→
Actual result
Heinisch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Meerschaert is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeinischMeerschaert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
56.7
39.1
Performance Avg
48.2
37
Quality of Victory
50
50
Momentum Score
91
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
8.4
6.2
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
9.2
0
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Heinisch
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
HeinischMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Heinisch targets the head (85% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the body (67% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Heinisch
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Heinisch · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
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