UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Featherweight
VS
28%
Turcios
72%
Montes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:40
Ricky
Ricky Turcios
13 – 6
5'9"71" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 30
Alberto
Alberto Montes
"The Promise"
12 – 1
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 78

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Montes

Montes is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Montes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Turcios throws more volume but Montes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Turcios
Montes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Turcios
Montes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.8
78.3
28.3
Performance Avg
69.7
25
Quality of Victory
50
30
Momentum Score
100
Turcios
Montes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Turcios
Montes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Turcios
Montes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Turcios
Montes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Turcios
Montes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Turcios
Montes
Striking0.7 / 2.0Volume8.7 / 2.0Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.0 / 10.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Turcios
Strike Zones
Montes
Turcios
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Montes
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Turcios targets the head (33% of attacks) — Montes absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Montes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Turcios absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Turcios
RND
Montes
0/0R00/0

Turcios · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6W6.6L4.5W4.4L6.5L4.9L2021-082022-072022-112024-062025-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Turcios · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Alberto MontesRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Benardo SopajRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · Sub · R2
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin NatividadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Montes · Last 1

W · Sub · R2
Ricky TurciosRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

News & Media

Ricky Turcios · Alberto Montes
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