UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
58%
Hill
42%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Hill at 58% vs Nunes at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
64"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
25.7
36.7
Performance Avg
39.6
31
Quality of Victory
29
40
Momentum Score
70
Hill
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
26
7
Body
9
3
Leg
15
RangeRange
30Distance46
3Clinch3
0Ground1
Hill
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Hill
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hill
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
15%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
HillNunes
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedNunes
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (70% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (52% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
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