UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Middleweight
VS
56%
Leben
44%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CL
Chris Leben
"The Crippler"
22 – 11
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw45 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
AC
Andrew Craig
"Highlight"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leben

This is a genuine toss-up — Leben at 56% vs Craig at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Leben has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Leben throws more volume but Craig connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Leben
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
45
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leben
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
13.6
50.5
Performance Avg
38.1
48
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
35
Leben
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
20
1
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance14
0Clinch2
0Ground6
Leben
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leben
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Leben
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leben
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leben
Craig
Striking6.9 / 4.2Volume3.1 / 6.2Grappling1.9 / 1.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Leben
Strike Zones
Craig
Leben
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Craig
Attacking
20HEAD2BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (56% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (91% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leben
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0

Leben · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5L5.5W5.0W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5W1.5L5.0W2.1L5.8L5.5L4.0L2005-042006-082009-082011-112013-12
WinLossTrend

Craig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2.8L2012-032013-012013-102015-07
WinLossTrend

Leben · Last 5

L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Chris Leben · Andrew Craig
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