METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Chiesa
41%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:37
def. Michael Chiesa · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 59% vs Lee at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
35.2
53.3
Performance Avg
48.3
43
Quality of Victory
42
50
Momentum Score
53
Chiesa
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.6
Style: Volume
4.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground19
Chiesa
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
9
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Chiesa
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
53
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Chiesa
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
9
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ChiesaLee
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedLee
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (86% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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Tony FergusonSubmission
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Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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Daniel RodriguezDecision
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Charles OliveiraSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
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