METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Oklahoma City, USA
25 Jun 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Chiesa
41%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsSubmissionR1 · 4:37
def. Michael Chiesa · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 59% vs Lee at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
35.2
53.3
Performance Avg
48.3
43
Quality of Victory
42
50
Momentum Score
53
Chiesa
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
19
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground19
Chiesa
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiesa
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Chiesa
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
53
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Chiesa
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
9
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ChiesaLee
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedLee
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (86% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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Max GriffinRating 6.1Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5Submission
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L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1Submission
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Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05