UFC 48: Payback
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2004
Middleweight
VS
63%
Tanner
37%
Baroni
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ET
Evan Tanner
32 – 8
6'0"74" reachOrthodox55 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
PB
Phil Baroni
"The New York Bad Ass"
15 – 18
Striker6-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tanner

Tanner holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Baroni has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Baroni has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tanner
Baroni
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
55
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Baroni
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
13.1
57.1
Performance Avg
41.5
52
Quality of Victory
49
93
Momentum Score
10
Tanner
Baroni
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
10
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance12
1Clinch1
8Ground0
Tanner
Baroni
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tanner
Baroni
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
10/33 fights
Tanner
Baroni
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Tanner
Baroni
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tanner
Baroni
Striking4.9 / 7.3Volume2.8 / 3.3Grappling3.4 / 0.8Wrestling2.3 / 0.6Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Tanner
Strike Zones
Baroni
Tanner
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Baroni
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (90% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Baroni targets the head (77% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tanner
RND
Baroni
0/0R00/0

Tanner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.3W5.0W5.1L4.8L5.0W2.8L5.5L1999-012002-032004-102008-032008-06
WinLossTrend

Baroni · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.2W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L2001-022002-092004-062011-01
WinLossTrend

Tanner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5
Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Baroni · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4
Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11

News & Media

Evan Tanner · Phil Baroni
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