METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Oklahoma City, USA
18 Jul 2026
Middleweight
VS
56%
Plessis
44%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dricus Du PlessiswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Kamaru Usman · UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Plessis
→
Actual result
Plessis wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 56% vs Usman at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PlessisUsman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Plessis
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
32+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Switch
Plessis
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.2
56.3
64.5
Performance Avg
59.6
47
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
55
Plessis
Usman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
4.6
5.0
Style: Volume
7.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
14
8
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance22
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Plessis
Usman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Plessis
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Plessis
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Plessis
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
31%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Plessis
Usman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
PlessisUsman
Strike Zones
Plessis
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedUsman
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Plessis targets the head (59% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (61% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Plessis
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0
Plessis · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaSubmission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08