UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
21 Oct 2023
Middleweight
VS
64%
Aliskerov
36%
Alves
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
Ikram
Ikram Aliskerov
17 – 2
6'0"76" reachSouthpaw33 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 69
Warlley
Warlley Alves
15 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aliskerov

Aliskerov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Alves has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aliskerov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alves has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Aliskerov
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
33+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Aliskerov
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.7
39.1
62.8
Performance Avg
49.3
51
Quality of Victory
49
88
Momentum Score
30
Aliskerov
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
1.3
62%
Strike Accuracy
49%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
3
6
Body
1
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
26Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aliskerov
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aliskerov
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Aliskerov
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
30
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Aliskerov
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
63%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aliskerov
Alves
Striking9.1 / 3.5Volume3.6 / 3.0Grappling0.6 / 3.6Wrestling0.4 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure7.7 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Aliskerov
Strike Zones
Alves
Aliskerov
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY8LEGS12 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY8LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aliskerov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Aliskerov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aliskerov
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Aliskerov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.2W2.4L5.9W5.6W2023-052023-102024-062025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W5.2W6.3W5.9L6.6L4.5W4.2W2.8L5.5W3.6L5.0W4.1L5.8L3.2L6.3L2014-052016-052018-082021-062024-05
WinLossTrend

Aliskerov · Last 5

Upcoming
Brunno Ferreira
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Alves · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Ikram Aliskerov · Warlley Alves
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