Ikram Aliskerov vs Warlley Alves — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

21 Oct 2023

Middleweight

63%

Aliskerov

37%

Alves

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:07

Ikram Aliskerov

17 – 2

6'0"76" reachSouthpaw33 yrs3-fight win streakStriker

CFR 65

Warlley Alves

15 – 8

Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 39

★ Official Result

Ikram AliskerovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:07

def. Warlley Alves · UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Aliskerov

→

Actual result

Aliskerov wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Aliskerov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Alves has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Alves has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AliskerovAlves

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Aliskerov

Alves

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'0"+

Height

5'11"

76"+

Reach

72"

33+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Aliskerov

Alves

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.2

39.1

60.9

Performance Avg

49.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Aliskerov

Alves

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.7

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

6.7

Style: Pressure

5.9

4.9

Style: Volume

3.0

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

26Distance12

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Aliskerov

Alves

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.0

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

0.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.5

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Aliskerov

Alves

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/19 fights

Chin rating based on

16/23 fights

Aliskerov

Alves

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Aliskerov

Alves

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

60%

63%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aliskerov

Alves

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.5

1.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.6

0.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.5

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.8

6.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.9

4.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.0

Aliskerov

Strike Zones

Alves

Aliskerov

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Alves

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Aliskerov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 77% of strikes there

🎯Alves targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Aliskerov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aliskerov

RND

Alves

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Aliskerov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Brunno Ferreira

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

JunYong Park

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

W · KO · R1

Andre Muniz

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

L · KO · R1

Robert Whittaker

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Warlley Alves

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Alves · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Abus Magomedov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

L · KO · R1

Ikram Aliskerov

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

L · Dec · R3

Nicolas Dalby

Decision

UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01

L · KO · R2

Jeremiah Wells

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06

W · KO · R1

Mounir Lazzez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Ikram Aliskerov · Warlley Alves

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