METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Las Vegas, USA
18 Jan 2020
Heavyweight
VS
60%
Oleinik
40%
Greene
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:38
★ Official Result
Aleksei OleinikwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:38
def. Maurice Greene · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleinik
→
Actual result
Oleinik wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oleinik holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Greene has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleinik has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Greene has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OleinikGreene
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oleinik
Greene
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'7"
80"
Reach
80"
49
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Greene
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
17.5
52.0
Performance Avg
47.6
51
Quality of Victory
46
39
Momentum Score
53
Oleinik
Greene
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
9
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance7
0Clinch3
3Ground0
Oleinik
Greene
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Greene
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Oleinik
Greene
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Oleinik
Greene
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Greene
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
OleinikGreene
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGreene
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (50% of attacks) — Greene absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Greene targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Greene
0/0R00/0
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Greene · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Greg HardyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10