METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Interim Featherweight
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2015
Interim Featherweight
VS
24%
Mendes
76%
McGregor
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:57
★ Official Result
Conor McGregorwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:57
def. Chad Mendes · UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGregor
→
Actual result
McGregor wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
McGregor is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGregor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGregor has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesMcGregor
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
McGregor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+74"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Mendes
McGregor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
68.5
54.7
Performance Avg
67.0
48
Quality of Victory
67
100
Momentum Score
85
Mendes
McGregor
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.0
Style: Volume
2.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
22
0
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance20
0Clinch0
13Ground7
Mendes
McGregor
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
McGregor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Mendes
McGregor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Mendes
McGregor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
McGregor
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MendesMcGregor
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMcGregor
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (94% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯McGregor targets the head (81% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
McGregor
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
McGregor · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · R1
Dustin PoirierUFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Sub · R4
Khabib NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10