UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
27 Aug 2011
Featherweight
VS
49%
Alcantara
51%
Arantes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arantes
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 49% vs Arantes at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Alcantara throws more volume but Arantes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arantes has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Alcantara
Arantes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+73"
45
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Arantes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
17.8
48.0
Performance Avg
43.8
41
Quality of Victory
43
49
Momentum Score
64
Alcantara
Arantes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Alcantara
Arantes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Arantes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
12/28 fights
Alcantara
Arantes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
64
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Alcantara
Arantes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Arantes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
AlcantaraArantes
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedArantes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Arantes targets the head (80% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Arantes
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Arantes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08