UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Featherweight
VS
58%
Backstrom
42%
Lahat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NB
Niklas Backstrom
11 – 3
6'1"Orthodox36 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
NL
Noad Lahat
"Neo"
11 – 2
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Backstrom

This is a genuine toss-up — Backstrom at 58% vs Lahat at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Backstrom has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Striking split: Lahat throws more volume but Backstrom connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lahat has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Backstrom
Lahat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Backstrom
Lahat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
12.7
45.7
Performance Avg
35.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
50
Backstrom
Lahat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance7
1Clinch2
0Ground4
Backstrom
Lahat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Backstrom
Lahat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Backstrom
Lahat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Backstrom
Lahat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Backstrom
Lahat
Striking0.7 / 1.0Volume0.7 / 9.0Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Backstrom
Strike Zones
Lahat
Backstrom
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Lahat
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Backstrom targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lahat absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lahat targets the head (85% of attacks) — Backstrom absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Backstrom
RND
Lahat
0/0R00/0

Backstrom · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W1.5L5.5L2014-052014-102015-06
WinLossTrend

Lahat · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0101.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L2014-032014-072015-062016-02
WinLossTrend

Backstrom · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Mike WilkinsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Tom NiinimakiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05

Lahat · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Diego RivasRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Niklas BackstromRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Steven SilerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Niklas Backstrom · Noad Lahat
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