METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Middleweight
VS
49%
Palhares
51%
Belcher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:18
★ Official Result
Alan BelcherwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:18
def. Rousimar Palhares · UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Belcher
→
Actual result
Belcher wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Palhares at 49% vs Belcher at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PalharesBelcher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Palhares
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
22.4
54.0
Performance Avg
53.0
46
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Palhares
Belcher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.2
3.3
Style: Volume
2.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground20
Palhares
Belcher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
6
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Palhares
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Palhares
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Palhares
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Palhares
Belcher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
PalharesBelcher
Strike Zones
Palhares
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBelcher
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belcher targets the head (95% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Palhares
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Hector LombardKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingDecision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiDecision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteSubmission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05