UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Middleweight
VS
45%
Cote
55%
Lawlor
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawlor

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 45% vs Lawlor at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cote
Lawlor
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cote
Lawlor
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
19.8
41.8
Performance Avg
48.7
38
Quality of Victory
45
79
Momentum Score
75
Cote
Lawlor
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
36%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground14
Cote
Lawlor
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Lawlor
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Cote
Lawlor
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cote
Lawlor
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
Lawlor
Striking5.0 / 4.4Volume5.0 / 3.8Grappling1.2 / 3.5Wrestling0.8 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Cote
Strike Zones
Lawlor
Cote
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Lawlor
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawlor targets the head (69% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
Lawlor
0/0R00/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Lawlor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.3L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5L2008-122010-052012-052015-072016-03
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Tom Lawlor
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