METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
50%
Swanson
50%
Gracie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cub SwansonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kron Gracie · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swanson
→
Actual result
Swanson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 50% vs Gracie at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gracie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwansonGracie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swanson
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Swanson
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
45.3
48.8
Performance Avg
42.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
43
Swanson
Gracie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
5.2
Style: Volume
0.5
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
30
17
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
41Distance22
17Clinch8
1Ground1
Swanson
Gracie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swanson
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Swanson
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Swanson
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Gracie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SwansonGracie
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGracie
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (68% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (97% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 97% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Gracie · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Sub · R1
Alex CaceresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02