UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
47%
Carolina
53%
Cachoeira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cachoeira
This is a genuine toss-up — Carolina at 47% vs Cachoeira at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cachoeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Cachoeira throws more volume but Carolina connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Carolina's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cachoeira has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Carolina
Cachoeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
65"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Carolina
Cachoeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.8
54.7
41.5
Performance Avg
46.6
29
Quality of Victory
52
80
Momentum Score
82
Carolina
Cachoeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
20
12
Body
12
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
43Distance31
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Carolina
Cachoeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carolina
Cachoeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Carolina
Cachoeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Carolina
Cachoeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carolina
Cachoeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
CarolinaCachoeira
Strike Zones
Carolina
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedCachoeira
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carolina targets the head (72% of attacks) — Cachoeira absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Cachoeira targets the head (54% of attacks) — Carolina absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carolina
RND
Cachoeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Carolina · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cachoeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Carolina · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Cachoeira · Last 5
Upcoming
Chelsea ChandlerUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Klaudia SygulaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Josiane NunesRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01