★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
25 Oct 2014
Featherweight
VS
68%
Aldo
32%
Mendes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldo
Aldo holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldo
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
66"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
21.1
53.6
Performance Avg
54.7
49
Quality of Victory
48
40
Momentum Score
100
Aldo
Mendes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
57%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
8
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldo
Mendes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Aldo
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Aldo
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Mendes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
AldoMendes
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMendes
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (82% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04