UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Lightweight
VS
51%
Bocek
49%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Mark Bocek
12 – 5
5'8"75" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
30 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bocek

This is a genuine toss-up — Bocek at 51% vs Lentz at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lentz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bocek
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bocek
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
16.0
47.6
Performance Avg
45.3
38
Quality of Victory
35
48
Momentum Score
53
Bocek
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
6
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
1Clinch1
11Ground0
Bocek
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bocek
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Bocek
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Bocek
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bocek
Lentz
Striking1.2 / 3.4Volume5.2 / 6.4Grappling5.2 / 2.7Wrestling3.6 / 1.9Submission5.0 / 1.4Pressure5.3 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Bocek
Strike Zones
Lentz
Bocek
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (47% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bocek
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0

Bocek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.9L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L4.5W2007-072009-042011-042014-04
WinLossTrend

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Bocek · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Mark Bocek · Nik Lentz
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