METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Welterweight
VS
65%
Masvidal
35%
Askren
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:05
★ Official Result
Jorge MasvidalwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:05
def. Ben Askren · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Masvidal wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Askren has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Askren has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Askren has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MasvidalAskren
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Masvidal
Askren
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Masvidal
Askren
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
18.6
47.0
Performance Avg
45.7
42
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
52
Masvidal
Askren
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.4
Style: Volume
0.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Masvidal
Askren
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Masvidal
Askren
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Masvidal
Askren
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Masvidal
Askren
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Askren
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MasvidalAskren
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedAskren
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Askren absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Askren
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Askren · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Demian MaiaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Robbie LawlerSubmission
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03