UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Featherweight
VS
56%
Yusuff
44%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yusuff
This is a genuine toss-up — Yusuff at 56% vs Caceres at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Yusuff throws more volume but Caceres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yusuff
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Yusuff
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.1
39.7
48.9
Performance Avg
42.2
42
Quality of Victory
34
54
Momentum Score
76
Yusuff
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
17
3
Body
8
12
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance26
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Yusuff
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yusuff
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Yusuff
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Yusuff
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
31%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yusuff
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
YusuffCaceres
Strike Zones
Yusuff
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yusuff targets the head (44% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (61% of attacks) — Yusuff absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yusuff
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Yusuff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Yusuff · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mairon SantosRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Don ShainisRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03

