METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
1 Feb 2025
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Nurmagomedov
48%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Vinicius OliveirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Said Nurmagomedov · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 52% vs Oliveira at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
58.8
53.5
Performance Avg
54.9
47
Quality of Victory
36
87
Momentum Score
76
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
3.6
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
14
4
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
NurmagomedovOliveira
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (74% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Oliveira · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06