UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Featherweight
VS
36%
Bektic
64%
Skelly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Skelly
Skelly holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Bektic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Bektic throws more volume but Skelly connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bektic
Skelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bektic
Skelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
34.0
48.4
Performance Avg
56.6
41
Quality of Victory
46
84
Momentum Score
75
Bektic
Skelly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
32%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Bektic
Skelly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bektic
Skelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Bektic
Skelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
75
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Bektic
Skelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bektic
Skelly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BekticSkelly
Strike Zones
Bektic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSkelly
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bektic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Skelly targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bektic absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bektic
RND
Skelly
0/0R00/0
Bektic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Skelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bektic · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby MoffettUFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02