UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Bantamweight
VS
75%
Vera
25%
Ewell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vera
Vera is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vera
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Vera
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.4
16.9
50.4
Performance Avg
32.8
46
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
35
Vera
Ewell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
14
10
Body
2
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance17
9Clinch0
10Ground0
Vera
Ewell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/35 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Vera
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vera
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vera
Ewell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
VeraEwell
Strike Zones
Vera
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedEwell
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the head (82% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vera
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Ewell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Ewell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02