UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
56%
Lim
44%
Perry
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lim
This is a genuine toss-up — Lim at 56% vs Perry at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Lim throws more volume but Perry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lim's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lim
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
71"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lim
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
16.4
52.1
Performance Avg
44.4
58
Quality of Victory
43
65
Momentum Score
50
Lim
Perry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
21
0
Body
3
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
8Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Lim
Perry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lim
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Lim
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Lim
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
57%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lim
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
LimPerry
Strike Zones
Lim
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedPerry
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lim targets the head (100% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (68% of attacks) — Lim absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lim
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0
Lim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Perry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daichi AbeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Takenori SatoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R5
Tarec SaffiedineRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08